Weekly Market Content

This Week’s Top Economic Data and Events

Consumer Confidence

Scheduled: 01/31 • Estimate: 108.9 • Previous: 108.3 With Confidence expected only to notch upward slightly, even a flat reading may not put much downward pressure on mortgage rates.

ISM Manufacturing Index

Scheduled: 02/01 • Estimate: 48.0 • Previous: 48.4 The slowing in manufacturing is starting to worry more experts, and a dip below 47.8 could create more downward pressure on mortgage rates.

FOMC Policy Announcement

Scheduled: 02/01 If the Fed highlights that inflation is slowing, the economy is cooling, and only raises its rate a quarter point, rates could slide down slightly.

Fed Chair Press Conference

Scheduled: 02/01 If Powell highlights that inflation is still twice the Fed’s target and not slowing at the rate the Fed wants, we could see rates moving upward.

Nonfarm Payrolls

Scheduled: 02/03 • Estimate: 185K • Previous: 223K If the hot labor market manages to create over 210K jobs again, then mortgage rates will experience some growing upward pressure.

Economic Snapshot

DOW Jones

10-Year CMT with 20-Day Average

Gross Domestic Product
▲ 3.2%
Released: 12/22 • Previous 3.5%

PCE Price Index (core)
▲ 0.2%
Released: 12/23 • Previous 0.3%
Unemployment Rate
⬌ 3.7%
Released: 12/02 • Previous 3.5%
Nonfarm Payrolls
▲ 263,000
Released: 11/30 • Previous 284,000